I don't do this type of thing often (of course, I don't blog that often either) because there are so many shows, websites, etc. now devoted to analysis of football that are run by people much more qualified than I am. I feel that my place is more of the fan's view; a regular guy's take on things that others might not notice. However, being that the Packers are my team, and there are going to be 1000 other idiots putting in their 2 cents, what's one more, right?
I am going to focus on a few main things here:
Packers offense vs. Steelers defense.
Green Bay & Pittsburgh are a very equal matchup here. The Packers have a dynamic, playmaking offense. The Steelers have a dynamic, playmaking offense. I expect to see the Packers put a couple drives together, and probably one or two, big, game changing plays. The strength of the Steelers defense is stopping the run. The weakness of the Packers offense is running. Green Bay will try to run the ball to keep Pittsburgh honest. But Mike McCarthy & Aaron Rodgers will throw. A lot. And they will be able to. Pittsburgh is 12th against the Pass in the NFL. Green Bay is 5th at passing offense, and at this point I don't think there is anyone better. Aaron Rodgers will be able to make a few plays against a weak Steelers secondary.
Steelers offense vs. Packers defense.
The Steelers are middle of the road on offense (14th), but they do have a Super Bowl winning QB who has the 2nd best winning playoff % of all time. Green Bay is a little susceptible to the run, and Pittsburgh has as a solid RB in Rashard Mendenhall. The thing that makes Roethlisberger & the Steelers tough to beat offensively is Pittsburgh's big play ability downfield, and Big Ben's ability to extend plays with his size & mobility to gain first downs when other players could not.
Verdict.
I am not in the habit of making predictions, but I will say that I feel that the Packers have the edge in both areas I mentioned. That doesn't mean they will win, or are even the better team. Intangibles and experience, and the clutch performance factor would probably favor Pittsburgh. Also, the two week layoff and some of the off the field controversies the Packers have experienced in the off week could be a distraction.
However, from a basic football X & Os standpoint I believe that Green Bay is better than Pittsburgh. Their offense is better than Pittsburgh's defense, and their defense is better than Pittsburgh's offense. Whether that will lead to a victory will be decided Feb. 6th in Dallas.
Showing posts with label Steelers. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Steelers. Show all posts
Monday, January 31, 2011
Monday, December 6, 2010
Prime Time
Two straight days, two straight big prime time games in the NFL between division leaders in heated rivalries. In both games the winner made a statement and gained the inside track to a division title and a first round by in the AFC playoffs.
While watching the Ravens/Steelers last night I could tell a big play had to be made somewhere. The Ravens managed a few deep balls from inside their own 10 yard line but weren't able to convert both in to points. The Steelers kept making mistakes around midfield but hung around and kicked a couple field goals. Terrell Suggs was a terror in a way I have rarely seen one player be in one game. Maybe Ray Lewis 10 years ago had games like that, I can't remember. When it came down to it the Steelers made 3 beastly plays in the span of a minute or two. Polamalu comes off the corner and destroys Flacco causing the fumble. Woodley picks it up and takes it to the 10. Down 4 they needed at TD and that is no easy task against the Ravens D inside their stadium in Prime Time on the road. On 1st down Roethlisburger came under heavy pressure by Suggs (who else). One thing Big Ben is known for is using his height and strength to hang in the pocket or escape defenders that might bring smaller QBs down. He escaped the pocket while Suggs was dragging him down and shoved the ball out of bounds for an incomplete pass instead of taking a 10 yard sack. No one scores TDs on 2nd and goal from the 20, and Ben wanted to avoid that all costs. With a injured ankle and broken nose he was not going to allow that to happen. Two plays later he found a 3rd string running back across the middle at the 5 yard line. With a defender on his back he shook a tackle and outran a couple more Ravens for the game winning. These are the kind of things that makes a team's season.
New England made a different kind of statement tonight. Both the Patriots & Jets played on Thanksgiving (against different teams obviously). Both won. Both had 10 days to prepare for this MNF showdown among the 2 best teams in the conference. The Patriots have a much maligned defense and the number 1 offense in the league. The Jets have at top 5 defense and an offense that struggles at times but generally makes enough plays to win (usually because the other team chokes big time, ie. Browns, Texans). Labeled as a rough and tough battle of Boston v. New York this turned ugly quickly. New England established their dominance offensively, defensively, and on special teams. They ran the ball effectively, Brady cut up the defense with his precision passing and improvisational ability, and racked up 17 points in the first quarter. The Jets moved the ball a little but couldn't get the ball in scoring position, and that was it. By then my DVR needed to record some things but at I didn't care; it was 38-3 (the game ended 45-3).
Like I wrote last week, when December comes the big time teams cement themselves as true contenders.
In the NFC the Falcons also went on the road yesterday and pulled out a tough win against a division rival in Tampa Bay, and they are also 10-2. New Orleans squeaked one out against Cincinnati (that word is hard to spell for some reason... it is 2 Ns and 1 T...) who gives teams a lot of trouble but usually chokes. Green Bay pulled away from an inferior San Francisco team, and Chicago shook off a tough challenge in Detroit and stayed a game up on the Pack. Looks like Minnesota has figured some things out by playing bad Washington & Buffalo teams, but thank God they are in the rear view mirror now.
Thanks to NFL.com for the sweet highlights.
While watching the Ravens/Steelers last night I could tell a big play had to be made somewhere. The Ravens managed a few deep balls from inside their own 10 yard line but weren't able to convert both in to points. The Steelers kept making mistakes around midfield but hung around and kicked a couple field goals. Terrell Suggs was a terror in a way I have rarely seen one player be in one game. Maybe Ray Lewis 10 years ago had games like that, I can't remember. When it came down to it the Steelers made 3 beastly plays in the span of a minute or two. Polamalu comes off the corner and destroys Flacco causing the fumble. Woodley picks it up and takes it to the 10. Down 4 they needed at TD and that is no easy task against the Ravens D inside their stadium in Prime Time on the road. On 1st down Roethlisburger came under heavy pressure by Suggs (who else). One thing Big Ben is known for is using his height and strength to hang in the pocket or escape defenders that might bring smaller QBs down. He escaped the pocket while Suggs was dragging him down and shoved the ball out of bounds for an incomplete pass instead of taking a 10 yard sack. No one scores TDs on 2nd and goal from the 20, and Ben wanted to avoid that all costs. With a injured ankle and broken nose he was not going to allow that to happen. Two plays later he found a 3rd string running back across the middle at the 5 yard line. With a defender on his back he shook a tackle and outran a couple more Ravens for the game winning. These are the kind of things that makes a team's season.
New England made a different kind of statement tonight. Both the Patriots & Jets played on Thanksgiving (against different teams obviously). Both won. Both had 10 days to prepare for this MNF showdown among the 2 best teams in the conference. The Patriots have a much maligned defense and the number 1 offense in the league. The Jets have at top 5 defense and an offense that struggles at times but generally makes enough plays to win (usually because the other team chokes big time, ie. Browns, Texans). Labeled as a rough and tough battle of Boston v. New York this turned ugly quickly. New England established their dominance offensively, defensively, and on special teams. They ran the ball effectively, Brady cut up the defense with his precision passing and improvisational ability, and racked up 17 points in the first quarter. The Jets moved the ball a little but couldn't get the ball in scoring position, and that was it. By then my DVR needed to record some things but at I didn't care; it was 38-3 (the game ended 45-3).
Like I wrote last week, when December comes the big time teams cement themselves as true contenders.
In the NFC the Falcons also went on the road yesterday and pulled out a tough win against a division rival in Tampa Bay, and they are also 10-2. New Orleans squeaked one out against Cincinnati (that word is hard to spell for some reason... it is 2 Ns and 1 T...) who gives teams a lot of trouble but usually chokes. Green Bay pulled away from an inferior San Francisco team, and Chicago shook off a tough challenge in Detroit and stayed a game up on the Pack. Looks like Minnesota has figured some things out by playing bad Washington & Buffalo teams, but thank God they are in the rear view mirror now.
Thanks to NFL.com for the sweet highlights.
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